Hurricane Dorian, Could Reach Florida as a Category 3 Storm

Hurricane Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
800 PM AST Wed Aug 28 2019

…DORIAN CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS…

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…19.2N 65.7W
ABOUT 60 MI…95 KM NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.23 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning for Vieques, Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin
Islands has been discontinued.

The government of Antigua has discontinued the Hurricane Warning
for the British Virgin Islands.

The Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning for Puerto Rico have
been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located
by an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude
19.2 North, longitude 65.7 West. Dorian is moving toward the
northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected
to continue through Friday. On this track, Dorian should move over
the Atlantic well east of the southeastern and central Bahamas on
Thursday and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Dorian is forecast to strengthen into a powerful hurricane
during the next few days over the Atlantic waters.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80
miles (130 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter
observations is 990 mb (29.23 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations:

Northern Leeward Islands…1 to 3 inches.
Central and northwestern Bahamas…2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches.
Coastal sections of the Southeast United States…4 to 8 inches,
isolated 10 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Swells around the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico should gradually diminish tonight.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch