New Threat to Florida from the Tropics
Soon-to-be Tropical Storm Nate is likely to enter the Gulf of Mexico by Saturday morning and continue steady intensification until landfall somewhere between Mobile, Alabama and Cedar Key, Florida. The average track error at time of landfall, which is day four in this case, is nearly 150 miles to either side of an official forecast. Potential impacts, whether it be storm surge or wind, can extend dozens – if not hundreds – of miles from the center of a tropical cyclone and are not represented by the forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center.
At this stage in the tropical cyclone’s evolution, and especially considering there is still plenty of time to take action on a hurricane plan, residents in the potential path of TD16 (Louisiana to Florida) should take steps to ensure their hurricane plans are completed in the next couple of days and heed any advice from local officials as the situation unfolds.
Story by Jeff Huffman at FPREN at floridastorms.org
WKGC is a Florida Public Radio Emergency Network Station for NW Florida
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC) on Wednesday, October 4th, 2017, the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen was located near latitude 12.2 North, longitude 81.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the depression should be nearing the coast of Nicaragua early Thursday, move across northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras late Thursday, and emerge into the northwestern Caribbean Sea on Friday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today or tonight.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).