Potential Tropical Cyclone Three Forming in Gulf of Mexico
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 24.7 North, longitude 88.7 West. The system is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a slower motion toward the northwest on Tuesday and Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the disturbance will move toward the Louisiana coast on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible before the system reaches the coast.
Upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for some additional development of this system during the next day or two, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) to the north and east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).